Knowing the lay of the land is integral to formulating a pragmatic draft strategy. While we all should trust our own analysis, it helps to have a grasp for how the market views the inventory. One of the ways to accomplish this is via average draft position (ADP). ADP can be useful in framing when to draft a player, but it doesn’t, or at least shouldn’t, guide who to draft.
Understanding the composition of the player pool also doesn’t pinpoint who to choose, but it assists in knowing where to look. To that end, an positional overview of the hitters will be presented, using 12 and 15-team mixed leagues as the basis.
To get a better representation of the market, the individual player projections will be an average of my own, RotoWire’s and those of our friends at BaseballHQ. My valuation model will be used to determine the draft-worthy pool in each format. Different models generate different rankings, but the players comprising each list are close to the same. The ranking order is the chief difference. ‘Draft-worthy’ is defined as the players necessary to legally fill all the rosters. For example, in a 12-team league with the standard 14 hitters per team, 168 hitters make up the draft-worthy pool. There will be ample players at each position, so the 12-team pool will have at least 24 catchers, 36 corner infielders (at least 12 at both first base and third base), 36 middle infielders (at least 12 at both second base