Last week was decent – 11-5 overall, won my best bet (Cowboys) and went 4-1 in the Supercontest. I also got lucky on a few – miraculous backdoor covers by the Dolphins and Lions, Dan Bailey gifting the cover to the Bucs and even the Chargers coming through for me. I’m not above accepting it, though.
This week, I particularly like the Broncos, 49ers and Eagles.
Chargers +3.5 at Raiders
I made this line only three, and while it’s playing with fire to bet on the Chargers two weeks in a row, this should be a close game. Take the points.
Raiders 30 – 27
Bills -6.5 at Broncos
I love the Broncos here. The Bills looked great the last two weeks beating the 49ers and Steelers, but it’s time to sell high on the road against a scrappy team that usually shows up. Take the points.
Bills 24 – 23
Panthers +8.5 at Packers
I made this line 10.5, as the Packers are bullies at home against weak teams. There’s letdown potential here, and the Panthers should move the ball, but I don’t see their defense slowing down Aaron Rodgers‘ well-oiled machine. Lay the wood.
Packers 27 – 17
Texans +7 at Colts
I made this line 10.5 and guessed it would be 13, forgetting only two weeks ago the Texans had the ball down six, on the two yard line, with two minutes to go before fumbling the