Sunday night gives us a classic AFC West showdown between the 10-1 Chiefs, the highest-scoring team in the AFC, and the 4-7 Broncos, who lost 43-16 in Kansas City back in Week 7. With the Chiefs gigantic 13.0-point home favorites in a game with a 50.0-point total, we’re surely going to see plenty of 5:1 and 4:2 stacks, likely with a few Chiefs punts just to make sure the elite options are included.
The quarterback matchup in this one is pretty one-sided, but at least the Broncos will have a real quarterback after being forced to use practice squad wide receiver Kendall Hinton last week because of required COVID isolations. But while Drew Lock ($9,200 DK, $14,000 FD) will be under center, it seems unlikely he’ll be a popular flex play even with the expectation that he’ll have to throw a bunch to keep the Broncos in the game. Lock completed 24-of-40 passes for 254 yards and two interceptions in the first meeting, though he salvaged his fantasy day with a rushing touchdown. Lock has thrown at least 40 passes four times this season, but only once did he pass for more than 260 yards in those games.
Recent history of Chiefs opponents theoretically works in Lock’s favor, as they allowed at least 275 yards and three touchdowns in three straight games, but even then it seems unlikely he’ll be overly popular because it likely prices you out of another Chiefs player.
The Broncos defense has actually been solid