Tue. Jun 15th, 2021

The Week 11 college football schedule has been substantially thinned by concerns related to COVID-19. Fifteen games have been either cancelled or postponed, six of which involved a ranked team. The SEC was the conference hit the hardest, with four of seven scheduled games postponed. Three SEC games remain, however, and the Week 11 college football odds from William Hill show Kentucky at -18 against Vanderbilt.

Ole Miss is -12.5 against South Carolina, while No. 6 Florida is laying 17 points against Arkansas. Should you target any of those SEC lines in your Week 11 college football bets? And which other college football spreads around the country have value on Saturday? Before making any Week 11 college football picks, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 37-20 on all top-rated picks through 10 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $900 in profit already. Anybody who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 11 from William Hill and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 college football predictions 

One of the top Week 11 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 6 Florida (-17) covers at home against Arkansas in a 7 p.m. ET matchup on Saturday. The Gators are coming off an impressive 44-28 victory against the Georgia Bulldogs last week. Quarterback Kyle Trask put on a show against the Bulldogs, completing 30 passes for 474 yards and four touchdowns. For the season, Trask has thrown for 1,815 yards, 22 touchdowns and just three interceptions. 

Trask and the Gators are averaging 42.4 points per game this season and they’ve dominated the Razorbacks over the years. In fact, Florida is 9-1 in its last 10 meetings against Arkansas, and the Gators have covered the spread in eight of those contests. Arkansas, meanwhile, has struggled mightily on the road, winning just one of its last 12 road games. The Razorbacks will also be without head coach Sam Pittman due to COVID-19.

SportsLine’s model is predicting that Trask will throw for almost 300 yards and three touchdowns as the Gators put up 41 points on the Razorbacks, resulting in Florida covering the spread in over 60 percent of simulations. 

Another one of the Week 11 predictions from the model: No. 10 Indiana (-7) covers at Michigan State in a noon ET kickoff in the Big Ten. Few teams in the nation have been as inconsistent as the Spartans. They were stunned as 13.5-point favorites in their opener against Rutgers in a game the Scarlet Knights won 38-27. The Spartans bounced back with an upset win over rival Michigan, but then got blasted by Iowa 49-7 last week.

Indiana, meanwhile, has been steady, winning and covering in all three of its games. The model has considered that Michigan State is just 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 games overall and went 1-6 ATS last year at home. Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. throws for almost 250 yards and two touchdowns as the Hoosiers take this one by double digits in the simulations, covering almost 60 percent of the time. The under (52) also has plenty of value since that hits in more than 60 percent of simulations. 

How to make Week 11 college football picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other Week 11 FBS matchup, and it is also predicting a major upset in the Big 12. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 11? And which Big 12 underdog will pull off a shocking upset? Check out the latest Week 11 college football odds for some of the week’s most notable games below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,900 in profit over the past four-plus seasons, and find out.

Week 11 college football odds (via William Hill)

Saturday, Nov. 14

Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech (-2)

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Penn State at Nebraska (+3)

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Indiana at Michigan State (+7)

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Notre Dame at Boston College (+13.5)

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Fighting Irish

USC at Arizona (+14)

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Baylor at Texas Tech (-1)

Arkansas at Florida (-17.5)

Oregon at Washington State (+10)

South Carolina at Ole Miss (-11)

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Wisconsin at Michigan (+4.5)

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Oregon State at Washington (-12.5)

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