Don’t look now, and I better not jinx myself, but last week was a third 4-1 week in four tries. We know that can change on a dime, and this week’s slate looks primed for some regression with so many games canceled and so few remaining to choose from. My one trap game this week is Virginia Tech (-2) vs. Miami. How on earth are the Hokies favored here, and have been since the line opened Sunday. Keep an eye on the availability of RB Khalil Herbert and TE James Mitchell, huge difference makers for VT.
Kentucky (-17) vs. Vanderbilt
This is a big number for a limited Kentucky offense to cover, but I expect their rushing attack, which averages 176.2 yards per game, to get going against a Commodores side that allows 5.2 yards per carry. But the real story will be defense, and Vandy’s paltry offense. The latter is averaging just 12.8 ppg, boosted by 21 points put up against Ole Miss’ pathetic D. Kentucky is only giving up 11.2 ppg in five games not played against Ole miss. They are also second nationally in interceptions and tied for first with three returned for TDs. This may not feel comfortable for a while, but UK can find their way into at least 24 points, hopefully more, which earns them a cover.
Wake Forest (+13.5) at North Carolina
It’s a scary proposition going against a UNC offense that’s averaging 40.9 ppg, having topped that number in